Match KV Mechelen vs Genk February 13, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 4.00 — +10.9% better than the market.

KV Mechelen hosts Genk in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge, but Mechelen's home form and defensive solidity could keep things tight. Genk's sharper attack faces a resilient home defense, suggesting a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances. Recent form favors Genk, yet Mechelen's home momentum and compact block might frustrate the visitors.

Mechelen's defensive resilience vs Genk's attacking threat
Genk's recent winning streak vs Mechelen's mixed home form
Moderate pace expected, hinting at a balanced contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 4.00 ✗ Lost

AI 28% Implied 25% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MEC 3-4-1-2 · GEN 3-4-3

MEC · 3-4-1-2 3-4-3 · GEN

27 Vanrafelghem

📊 Statistics

MEC 2 – 3 GEN

43%

Possession (%)

57%

1.71

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.99

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Genk won 3–2 away at KV Mechelen. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.99 to 1.71. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.78 units (Brier 0.193).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.15	—	50%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.03	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.15	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.90	—	47%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.74	—	51%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.75	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.54	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.00	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.33	—	75%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.20	—	26%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.54	—	50%	Cashed	+0.54	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.38	—	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	91%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.30	—	72%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.50	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.78u	−16% ROI