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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Antwerp — Genk

Preview Antwerp vs Genk August 22, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Antwerp
Antwerp
Home · last 5 W W
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Genk
Genk
L W Away · last 5
Home Win · ANT
35%
Best 3.36
Draw
27%
Best 3.43
Away Win · GEN
39%
Best 2.18

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 56% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Antwerp shows strong home momentum with perfect recent form and a high points-per-game rate, suggesting they control the tempo early on. Their attacking threat is clear, supported by a solid defensive shape that could frustrate Genk's less consistent offense.

  • Home side's sharp finishing and pressing edge
  • Genk's struggle to break down compact blocks
  • Potential for a tactical midfield battle

Expect a competitive match where Antwerp's home confidence and sharper form might tip the balance, though Genk could exploit any lapses with quick counters.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 38% Genk win
BTTS 56% Yes
Double Chance 65% X2
  • 1X2 Genk win 38%
  • BTTS Yes 56%
  • Double Chance X2 65%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Antwerp
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 7 / 4
Avg goals / match 2.2
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.33 / 1.32
Genk
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 6 / 4
Avg goals / match 2.0
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.45 / 1.16

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.50
Goals Scored
2
0.50
Goals Conceded
2
1.70
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
3.50
Shots on Target
1.50
2.50
Corners
1.50
25
Possession (%)
31
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
56
OFF · home
72
78
DEF · home
22
89
OFF · away
11
100
DEF · away
78
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Antwerp wins when scoring first
Genk wins when scoring first
Antwerp BTTS rate · last 10
30%
Genk BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Antwerp Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Genk Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
Antwerp comeback rate · last 10
25%
Genk comeback rate · last 10

🔥 Goal timing

Antwerp · last 4 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 14%
31–45 43%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 43%

Genk · last 7 away

0–15 25%
16–30 17%
31–45 17%
46–60 17%
61–75 8%
76–90 17%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.

Top scorers

M. Frey
ANT · Attacker
2 G · 1.07 g/90
A. Valencia
ANT · Attacker
2 G · 1.91 g/90
R. Durosinmi
GEN · Attacker
1 G