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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League KV Mechelen — Genk

Predictions KV Mechelen vs Genk February 13, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen
Home · last 5 W L D D L
Kick-off
Fri 13 Feb · 19:45
2:3
Full-time
Genk
Genk
W D D W D Away · last 5
Referee Jan Boterberg, Belgium
Home Win · MEC
25%
Best 3.28
Draw
25%
Best 3.40
Away Win · GEN
50%
Best 2.15
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.61
book 4.00 · +10.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +10.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (72%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 50.4%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 24.6%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 52.9%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 47.1%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 27.7%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 26%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 74%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.6%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 48.7%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.3%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 24.6%
Odds 2.54
Show model details
Implied probability 39.4%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 50.4%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 49.6%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 75.4%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
MEC – GEN @ 4.00
+10.9%
Edge
Forecast →