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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Charleroi — KV Mechelen

Preview Charleroi vs KV Mechelen August 22, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Charleroi
Charleroi
Home · last 5 W W
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 16:15
:
Pre-match · scheduled
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen
L D Away · last 5
Stade du Pays de Charleroi · Charleroi
Home Win · CHA
54%
Best 1.78
Draw
25%
Best 3.80
Away Win · MEC
21%
Best 4.50

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 56% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Charleroi arrives with strong home momentum, boasting perfect recent form and a high scoring expectation. Their attacking edge should challenge KV Mechelen's defense, which has struggled to contain opponents. Mechelen's recent form and scoring output lag behind, suggesting they may face difficulty breaking down a confident Charleroi side.

  • Home side's sharp finishing and pressing edge
  • Mechelen's defensive vulnerabilities against dynamic attacks
  • Potential for a lively pace given Charleroi's offensive intent

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 54% Charleroi win
BTTS 56% Yes
Double Chance 79% 1X
  • 1X2 Charleroi win 54%
  • BTTS Yes 56%
  • Double Chance 1X 79%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Charleroi
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 7 / 3
Avg goals / match 2.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.78 / 0.80
KV Mechelen
W/D/L 0-3-2
Goals (for / against) 7 / 12
Avg goals / match 3.8
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-2
xG (for / against) 1.09 / 1.39

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2
Goals Scored
1.50
0.50
Goals Conceded
2.50
2.21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
7.50
Shots on Target
3
9
Corners
3
57.50
Possession (%)
49.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
83
OFF · home
67
50
DEF · home
33
44
OFF · away
6
83
DEF · away
56
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Charleroi wins when scoring first
KV Mechelen wins when scoring first
Charleroi BTTS rate · last 10
40%
KV Mechelen BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Charleroi Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
KV Mechelen Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
Charleroi comeback rate · last 10
0%
KV Mechelen comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Charleroi · last 5 at home

0–15 33%
16–30 0%
31–45 33%
46–60 17%
61–75 0%
76–90 17%

KV Mechelen · last 5 away

0–15 17%
16–30 17%
31–45 33%
46–60 0%
61–75 17%
76–90 17%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.

Top scorers

F. Situmona Mbemba
CHA · Attacker
1 G
M. van Brederode
MEC · Midfielder
2 G · 1.00 g/90