Match Lyon vs Lens May 17, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.14 — +14.4% better than the market.

Lyon hosts Lens in a Ligue 1 clash where Lens holds a quality edge, but Lyon’s strong home momentum and recent form suggest a tightly contested battle. Lyon’s compact defense faces Lens’ potent attack, promising tactical intrigue. The match hints at a balanced pace with both sides capable of goals, supported by recent high-scoring encounters.

Lyon’s home form is impressive, boosting confidence.
Lens’ offensive threat challenges Lyon’s defense.
Recent matches suggest a lively, goal-involved game.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.14 ✓ Cashed

AI 53% Implied 47% +1.14u

+114%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LYO 4-2-3-1 · LEN 3-4-2-1

LYO · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · LEN

9 Endrick

Subs used · LYO

46'

Yaremchuk ↑ ·

Kluivert ↓

46'

Hateboer ↑ ·

Maitland-Niles ↓

71'

Fofana ↑ ·

Endrick ↓

71'

Nuamah ↑ ·

Mangala ↓

Subs used · LEN

39'

Ganiou ↑ ·

Antonio ↓

46'

Udol ↑ ·

Sarr ↓

46'

Aguilar ↑ ·

Abdulhamid ↓

61'

Sima ↑ ·

Thauvin ↓

61'

Thomasson ↑ ·

Haidara ↓

📊 Statistics

LYO 0 – 4 LEN

55%

Possession (%)

45%

2.04

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.46

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

18 · 0 – 4

▮

M. Sarr

Yellow Card

20'

⚽

W. Said

Assist · K. Antonio · 0–1

27'

▮

S. Abdulhamid

Yellow Card

32'

⚽

W. Said

Assist · A. Haidara · 0–2

39'

⇄

I. Ganiou ↓ · K. Antonio ↑

Substitution 1

45+1'

⚽

F. Sotoca

Assist · F. Thauvin · 0–3

Half-time · 0 – 3

R. Yaremchuk ↓ · R. Kluivert ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

H. Hateboer ↓ · A. Maitland-Niles ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

⇄

M. Udol ↓ · M. Sarr ↑

Substitution 2

46'

⇄

R. Aguilar ↓ · S. Abdulhamid ↑

Substitution 3

54'

⚽

F. Thauvin

Assist · A. Bulatovic · 0–4

61'

⇄

A. Sima ↓ · F. Thauvin ↑

Substitution 4

61'

⇄

A. Thomasson ↓ · A. Haidara ↑

Substitution 5

P. Sulc

Yellow Card

▮

63'

M. Fofana ↓ · Endrick ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

E. Nuamah ↓ · O. Mangala ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

71'

73'

▮

R. Aguilar

Yellow Card

83'

▮

N. Celik

Yellow Card

Full-time · 0 – 4

Match recap

Lens won 4–0 away at Lyon. At half-time it was 0–3.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.04 to 1.46. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 20 to 8. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.46 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: W. Said (20'), W. Said (32'), F. Sotoca (45+1'), F. Thauvin (54').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.22 units (Brier 0.234).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.14	2.12	53%	Cashed	+1.14	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.64	1.62	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.46	2.38	39%	Cashed	+1.46	Cashed
BTTS No	2.40	2.38	39%	Cashed	+1.40	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.38	2.45	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.79	1.70	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.36	4.50	31%	Cashed	+3.36	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.10	3.42	31%	Cashed	+2.10	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.57	1.50	61%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	1.54	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.25	1.19	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.40	4.22	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.02	95%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.17	1.14	82%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.00	5.10	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	18.00	16.95	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.35	1.29	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.22u	+7% ROI