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Home France Ligue 1 Lyon — Lens

Predictions Lyon vs Lens May 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lyon
Lyon
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 19:00
0:4
Full-time
Lens
Lens
D D W L W Away · last 5
Referee F. Letexier
Home Win · LYO
47%
Best 1.73
Draw
22%
Best 4.46
Away Win · LEN
31%
Best 4.72
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.14
Fair odds
1.87
book 2.14 · +14.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 53% · EV +14.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (69%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 31.1%
Odds 4.36
Show model details
Implied probability 22.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 60.6%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 39.4%
Odds 2.46
Show model details
Implied probability 40.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 39%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 61%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81.8%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5%
Odds 18.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 39.1%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 31.1%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 53.5%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LYO – LEN @ 2.14
+14.4%
Edge
Forecast →