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Home France Ligue 1 Lens — Auxerre

Preview Lens vs Auxerre August 22, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lens
Lens
Home · last 5 D D W L W
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 15:15
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Auxerre
Auxerre
D L W W W Away · last 5
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Lens Referee M. Vernice
Home Win · LEN
54%
Best 1.61
Draw
23%
Best 4.58
Away Win · AUX
23%
Best 5.74

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 59% probability.

Also rated highly: both teams to score 56%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Lens hosts Auxerre in a Ligue 1 clash with limited recent form data, making it an open contest. The home side may benefit from familiar surroundings and a slight edge in tempo suggested by the odds favoring over 2.5 goals. Expect a balanced tactical battle where Lens' home momentum could challenge Auxerre's defensive resilience.

  • Home advantage at Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Odds hint at a moderately open game with goal chances
  • Both teams likely cautious due to unknown form

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 54% Lens win
Over/Under 2.5 59% Over 2.5
BTTS 56% Yes
Double Chance 77% 1X
  • 1X2 Lens win 54%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59%
  • BTTS Yes 56%
  • Double Chance 1X 77%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Lens
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 9 / 6
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-2-0
xG (for / against) 1.71 / 1.05
Auxerre
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 11 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.6
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 0.93 / 1.93

🎯 Scenario insights

Lens wins when scoring first
80%
Auxerre wins when scoring first
60%
Lens BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Auxerre BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Lens Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Auxerre Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Lens comeback rate · last 10
25%
Auxerre comeback rate · last 10

🔥 Goal timing

Lens · last 10 at home

0–15 14%
16–30 5%
31–45 19%
46–60 29%
61–75 19%
76–90 14%

Auxerre · last 10 away

0–15 30%
16–30 10%
31–45 30%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 30%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.