Match Fiorentina vs Genoa May 10, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.77 — +6.1% better than the market.

Fiorentina hosts Genoa in a Serie A clash where the away side holds a slight quality edge and better recent form. Fiorentina’s home defensive solidity faces a Genoa attack that has shown resilience, suggesting a tactical battle. The moderate pace implied by odds hints at a measured game, with both teams capable of scoring but likely cautious in approach.

Genoa’s recent form outpaces Fiorentina’s slightly.
Home defense vs away offense sets a compact tactical duel.
Odds suggest a balanced goal environment, favoring under 2.5 goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.77 ✓ Cashed

AI 60% Implied 57% +0.77u

+77%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

FIO 4-3-3 · GEN 3-4-2-1

FIO · 4-3-3 3-4-2-1 · GEN

19 Solomon

Subs used · FIO

61'

Piccoli ↑ ·

Braschi ↓

72'

Brescianini ↑ ·

Mandragora ↓

73'

Fabbian ↑ ·

Ndour ↓

86'

Gudmundsson ↑ ·

Parisi ↓

Subs used · GEN

58'

Ekuban ↑ ·

Colombo ↓

71'

Malinovskyi ↑ ·

Ekhator ↓

71'

L. Ouedraogo ↑ ·

Martin ↓

82'

Doucoure ↑ ·

Marcandalli ↓

82'

Masini ↑ ·

Amorim ↓

📊 Statistics

FIO 0 – 0 GEN

57%

Possession (%)

43%

0.97

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.58

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

9 · 0 – 0

Half-time · 0 – 0

58'

⇄

C. Ekuban ↓ · L. Colombo ↑

Substitution 1

R. Piccoli ↓ · R. Braschi ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

61'

71'

⇄

R. Malinovskyi ↓ · J. Ekhator ↑

Substitution 2

71'

⇄

W. L. Ouedraogo ↓ · A. Martin ↑

Substitution 3

M. Brescianini ↓ · R. Mandragora ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

72'

G. Fabbian ↓ · C. Ndour ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

82'

⇄

M. Doucoure ↓ · A. Marcandalli ↑

Substitution 4

82'

⇄

P. Masini ↓ · Amorim ↑

Substitution 5

A. Gudmundsson ↓ · F. Parisi ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

86'

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Fiorentina and Genoa drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 9, 1 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +6.81 units (Brier 0.304).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.77	1.80	60%	Cashed	+0.77	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.17	2.10	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.91	1.84	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.80	1.75	53%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
BTTS No	1.95	1.91	49%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.69	2.83	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.17	1.98	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.80	4.00	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.20	3.19	28%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.31	1.25	66%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.75	3.50	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	1.05	91%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.36	1.33	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.56	1.46	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.28	1.28	74%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Draw	3.50	3.40	26%	Cashed	+2.50	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	9.01	9%	Cashed	+8.00	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+6.81u	+40% ROI