🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward AS Roma to win — 55% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
AS Roma hosts Fiorentina in a Serie A clash where limited recent form data suggests a cautious approach. Roma’s home advantage could provide a slight edge, especially if they leverage their pressing and set-piece threat. Fiorentina might look to contain with a compact block, aiming to exploit counterattacks. The balanced odds on goals hint at a moderate tempo, with both sides likely to prioritize structure over open play.
- Home momentum may favor Roma’s attacking intent
- Fiorentina’s defensive resilience could limit clear chances
- Moderate pace expected, balancing attack and defense
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 55% | AS Roma win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 50% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 51% | No |
| Double Chance | 79% | 1X |
- 1X2 AS Roma win 55%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50%
- BTTS No 51%
- Double Chance 1X 79%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
AS Roma
W/D/L
5-0-0
Goals (for / against)
13 / 2
Avg goals / match
3.0
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
4/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
xG (for / against)
2.28 / 0.58
Fiorentina
W/D/L
1-3-1
Goals (for / against)
3 / 5
Avg goals / match
1.6
Scored in
2/5
Clean sheets
3/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-3-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
xG (for / against)
0.83 / 1.42
🎯 Scenario insights
①
AS Roma wins when scoring first
100%
①
Fiorentina wins when scoring first
67%
⚽
AS Roma BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
Fiorentina BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
AS Roma Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
Fiorentina Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
↩
AS Roma comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Fiorentina comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
AS Roma · last 10 at home
0–15
9%
16–30
9%
31–45
23%
46–60
23%
61–75
18%
76–90
18%
Fiorentina · last 10 away
0–15
0%
16–30
27%
31–45
20%
46–60
27%
61–75
7%
76–90
20%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.