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Home Italy Serie A Fiorentina — Genoa

Predictions Fiorentina vs Genoa May 10, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 13:00
0:0
Full-time
Genoa
Genoa
L D D L L Away · last 5
Referee Luca Massimi, Italy
Home Win · FIO
40%
Best 1.96
Draw
26%
Best 3.52
Away Win · GEN
34%
Best 4.50
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.77
Fair odds
1.67
book 1.77 · +6.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 60% · EV +6.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (66%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 40.1%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 34.3%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.7%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 46.8%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 53.2%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 28.5%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 26.1%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.1%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 71.5%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 73.9%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.9%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.9%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 49.1%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 34.3%
Odds 2.69
Show model details
Implied probability 37.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 40.1%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 59.9%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
FIO – GEN @ 1.77
+6.1%
Edge
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