🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 57% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
With limited recent form data, this Serie A opener hints at a cautious encounter. Napoli likely holds a quality edge, but Genoa’s home ground could temper the visitors’ attacking threat. The odds suggest a lower-scoring game, favoring compact defenses and measured tempo.
- Napoli’s superior squad depth may press for control.
- Genoa’s home resilience could limit chances.
- Expect a tactical battle with few clear-cut opportunities.
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 47% | Napoli win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 57% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 54% | No |
| Double Chance | 74% | X2 |
- 1X2 Napoli win 47%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57%
- BTTS No 54%
- Double Chance X2 74%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Genoa
W/D/L
0-2-3
Goals (for / against)
1 / 5
Avg goals / match
1.2
Scored in
1/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
xG (for / against)
0.77 / 1.39
Napoli
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
10 / 3
Avg goals / match
2.6
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
4/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
xG (for / against)
1.43 / 0.82
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Genoa wins when scoring first
100%
①
Napoli wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Genoa BTTS rate · last 10
30%
⚽
Napoli BTTS rate · last 10
30%
↑
Genoa Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
↑
Napoli Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↩
Genoa comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Napoli comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Genoa · last 10 at home
0–15
18%
16–30
12%
31–45
6%
46–60
12%
61–75
12%
76–90
41%
Napoli · last 10 away
0–15
20%
16–30
40%
31–45
7%
46–60
7%
61–75
0%
76–90
27%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.