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Home › Italy › Serie A › Genoa — Sassuolo

Match Genoa vs Sassuolo April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Genoa
Genoa
Home · last 5 L D D L L
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 10:30
2:1
Full-time
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
D W L L L Away · last 5
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris · Genova Referee A. Rapuano
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 63% · book 1.73 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.78 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 1.91 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.20 – 1.29
Δ −0.09
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.73 — +8.8% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.73 ✗ Lost
AI 63% Implied 58% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GEN 3-4-2-1 · SAS 4-3-3
GEN · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · SAS 16 Bijlow 27 Marcandalli 5 Østigård 22 Vásquez 20 Sabelli 32 Frendrup 17 Malinovskyi ⚽ 77 Ellertsson 8 Baldanzi 9 Vitinha 29 Colombo 49 Murić 6 Walukiewicz 21 Idzes 80 Muharemović 3 Doig 90 Koné ⚽ 18 Matic 42 Thorstvedt 10 Berardi 99 Pinamonti 45 Laurienté
Subs used · GEN
55' Ekuban ↑ · Colombo ↓
55' Martin ↑ · Baldanzi ↓
55' Masini ↑ · Malinovskyi ↓
75' Messias ↑ · Vitinha ↓
87' Otoa ↑ · Sabelli ↓
Subs used · SAS
67' Coulibaly ↑ · Walukiewicz ↓
67' Volpato ↑ · Matic ↓
81' Lipani ↑ · Doig ↓
81' Iannoni ↑ · Pinamonti ↓
87' Moro ↑ · Kone ↓

📊 Statistics

GEN 2 – 1 SAS
52%
Possession (%)
48%
1.20
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.29
14
Total Shots
15
7
Shots on Target
6
4
Shots off Target
7
7
Shots Inside Box
9
5
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
14
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
2
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5

⏱ Match events

20 · 2 – 1
Ruslan Malinovskyi
Yellow Card
▮
5'
R. Malinovskyi
Assist · T. Baldanzi · 1–0
⚽
18'
Morten Frendrup
Yellow Card
▮
20'
32'
▮
Josh Doig
Yellow Card
40'
▮
Sebastian Walukiewicz
Yellow Card
Mikael Ellertsson
Red Card
▮
45+2'
45+2'
▮
Domenico Berardi
Red Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
C. Ekuban ↓ · L. Colombo ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
55'
A. Martin ↓ · T. Baldanzi ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
55'
P. Masini ↓ · R. Malinovskyi ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
55'
57'
⚽
I. Kone
1–1
67'
⇄
W. Coulibaly ↓ · S. Walukiewicz ↑
Substitution 1
67'
⇄
C. Volpato ↓ · N. Matic ↑
Substitution 2
Junior Messias ↓ · Vitinha ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
75'
81'
⇄
L. Lipani ↓ · J. Doig ↑
Substitution 3
81'
⇄
E. Iannoni ↓ · A. Pinamonti ↑
Substitution 4
C. Ekuban
Assist · Junior Messias · 2–1
⚽
84'
S. Otoa ↓ · S. Sabelli ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
87'
87'
⇄
L. Moro ↓ · I. Kone ↑
Substitution 5
90+1'
▮
Tarik Muharemović
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Genoa beat Sassuolo 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Malinovskyi (18'), I. Kone (57'), C. Ekuban (84'). Mikael Ellertsson was sent off in the 45+2' minute. Domenico Berardi was sent off in the 45+2' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.97 units (Brier 0.188).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.73 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.78 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.23 — 42% Cashed +1.23 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.54 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.91 — 47% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Home Win 2.24 — 37% Cashed +1.24 Cashed
Away Win 3.65 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.26 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.34 — 64% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.28 — 78% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.50 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 — 90% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.38 — 68% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Draw 3.46 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.57 — 37% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.10 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.97u −23% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
GEN – SAS @ 1.73
+8.8%
Edge
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