🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 57% probability.
Also rated highly: Atalanta to win 56%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
With limited recent form and performance data, this Serie A opener between Atalanta and Sassuolo leans on historical tendencies and market signals. Atalanta typically enjoys a pressing edge at home, while Sassuolo’s compact block can challenge offensively. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight tilt towards goals, hinting at a balanced pace and potential for both sides to find chances.
- Home momentum and tactical pressing favor Atalanta
- Sassuolo’s disciplined defense may limit clear-cut opportunities
- Market odds imply a moderately high-scoring encounter
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 56% | Atalanta win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 57% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 53% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 79% | 1X |
- 1X2 Atalanta win 56%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57%
- BTTS Yes 53%
- Double Chance 1X 79%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Atalanta
W/D/L
1-2-2
Goals (for / against)
6 / 7
Avg goals / match
2.6
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.30 / 1.10
Sassuolo
W/D/L
1-1-3
Goals (for / against)
5 / 6
Avg goals / match
2.2
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
xG (for / against)
1.50 / 1.37
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Atalanta wins when scoring first
75%
①
Sassuolo wins when scoring first
67%
⚽
Atalanta BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
Sassuolo BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Atalanta Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↑
Sassuolo Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
Atalanta comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Sassuolo comeback rate · last 10
20%
🔥 Goal timing
Atalanta · last 10 at home
0–15
29%
16–30
14%
31–45
7%
46–60
0%
61–75
21%
76–90
29%
Sassuolo · last 10 away
0–15
0%
16–30
13%
31–45
13%
46–60
75%
61–75
0%
76–90
0%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.