Match Sassuolo vs Bologna March 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.52 — +9.7% better than the market.

Sassuolo hosts Bologna in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge, but home momentum is evident with recent strong form. Sassuolo’s attacking efforts face a tough Bologna defense, while Bologna’s offense will test Sassuolo’s compact backline. The match hints at a balanced tempo with moderate goal expectations.

Home side’s recent wins boost confidence
Bologna’s defensive solidity challenges home attacks
Close quality gap suggests a tight contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.52 ✓ Cashed

AI 31% Implied 28% +2.52u

+252%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SAS 4-3-3 · BOL 4-2-3-1

SAS · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · BOL

45 Laurienté

Subs used · SAS

59'

Volpato ↑ ·

Matic ↓

59'

Nzola ↑ ·

Pinamonti ↓

75'

Doig ↑ ·

Garcia ↓

75'

Vranckx ↑ ·

Kone ↓

86'

Bakola ↑ ·

Berardi ↓

Subs used · BOL

28'

Zortea ↑ ·

De Silvestri ↓

63'

Freuler ↑ ·

Moro ↓

64'

Castro ↑ ·

Dallinga ↓

82'

Bernardeschi ↑ ·

Odgaard ↓

83'

Pobega ↑ ·

Sohm ↓

📊 Statistics

SAS 0 – 1 BOL

54%

Possession (%)

46%

0.54

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.70

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 0 – 1

⚽

T. Dallinga

0–1

24'

▮

Thijs Dallinga

Yellow Card

28'

⇄

N. Zortea ↓ · L. De Silvestri ↑

Substitution 1

Half-time · 0 – 1

C. Volpato ↓ · N. Matic ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

59'

M. Nzola ↓ · A. Pinamonti ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

59'

63'

⇄

R. Freuler ↓ · N. Moro ↑

Substitution 2

64'

⇄

S. Castro ↓ · T. Dallinga ↑

Substitution 3

J. Doig ↓ · U. Garcia ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

75'

A. Vranckx ↓ · I. Kone ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

75'

M'Bala Nzola

Yellow Card

▮

77'

82'

⇄

F. Bernardeschi ↓ · J. Odgaard ↑

Substitution 4

83'

⇄

T. Pobega ↓ · S. Sohm ↑

Substitution 5

D. Bakola ↓ · D. Berardi ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

86'

90+6'

▮

Nadir Zortea

Yellow Card

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Bologna won 1–0 away at Sassuolo. At half-time it was 0–1.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 9, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: T. Dallinga (6').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.51 units (Brier 0.191).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.11	—	51%	Cashed	+1.11	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.86	—	57%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.09	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.10	—	43%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.63	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.87	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.55	—	70%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Away Win	2.95	—	43%	Cashed	+1.95	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.52	—	31%	Cashed	+2.52	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.46	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.32	—	77%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	90%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	3.40	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.34	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.65	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.51u	−3% ROI