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Home Italy Serie A Sassuolo — Bologna

Predictions Sassuolo vs Bologna March 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Home · last 5 D W L L L
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 14:00
0:1
Full-time
Bologna
Bologna
L D W W D Away · last 5
Referee K. Bonacina
Home Win · SAS
30%
Best 2.51
Draw
27%
Best 3.20
Away Win · BOL
43%
Best 2.88
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.52
Fair odds
3.21
book 3.52 · +9.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 31% · EV +9.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (69%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 30.3%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.5%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.2%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 42.7%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 31.2%
Odds 3.52
Show model details
Implied probability 28.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 77.4%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 10.2%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.8%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 22.6%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 51.2%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 42.5%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 30.3%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 69.7%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.5%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
SAS – BOL @ 3.52
+9.7%
Edge
Forecast →