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Home Italy Serie A Bologna — Lazio

Preview Bologna vs Lazio August 24, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Bologna
Bologna
Home · last 5 L D W W D
Kick-off
Mon 24 Aug · 16:30
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Lazio
Lazio
D W L L W Away · last 5
Referee F. Maresca
Home Win · BOL
43%
Best 2.25
Draw
28%
Best 3.36
Away Win · LAZ
29%
Best 3.66

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 57% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

With limited recent form and strength data, this Serie A opener between Bologna and Lazio hints at a cautious encounter. The odds suggest a moderate tempo with a slight lean towards fewer goals, indicating both sides may prioritize defensive solidity early in the season. Home advantage could offer Bologna some edge, but Lazio's away resilience and tactical discipline might keep the match tight.

  • Home momentum uncertain due to lack of form data
  • Likely compact defensive setups from both sides
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring a controlled game

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 43% Bologna win
Over/Under 2.5 57% Under 2.5
BTTS 51% No
Double Chance 71% 1X
  • 1X2 Bologna win 43%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57%
  • BTTS No 51%
  • Double Chance 1X 71%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Bologna
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 7 / 7
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-2-1
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-0
xG (for / against) 0.85 / 1.27
Lazio
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 7 / 10
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.12 / 1.27

🎯 Scenario insights

Bologna wins when scoring first
100%
Lazio wins when scoring first
100%
Bologna BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Lazio BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Bologna Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Lazio Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
Bologna comeback rate · last 10
0%
Lazio comeback rate · last 10
20%

🔥 Goal timing

Bologna · last 10 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 29%
31–45 14%
46–60 14%
61–75 14%
76–90 29%

Lazio · last 10 away

0–15 13%
16–30 0%
31–45 13%
46–60 37%
61–75 13%
76–90 25%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.