Match GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave August 9, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 4.10 — +8.6% better than the market.

With limited recent form and strength data, this Primeira Liga opener between GIL Vicente and Rio Ave hints at a balanced contest. The odds suggest a moderate pace and a slight lean towards under 2.5 goals, indicating a potentially cautious start from both sides. Home advantage may offer GIL Vicente some edge, but Rio Ave's resilience could keep the match tight.

Home side likely to press early leveraging familiar turf
Both teams may adopt compact defensive setups
Expect a tactical battle with few clear-cut chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 4.10 ✗ Lost

AI 26% Implied 24% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

VIC 4-2-3-1 · RIO 4-3-3

VIC · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · RIO

29 Eduardo

Subs used · VIC

19'

Moreira ↑ ·

Weverson ↓

65'

Silva ↑ ·

Moreira ↓

65'

Carlos ↑ ·

Caseres ↓

76'

Hernandez ↑ ·

Lausen ↓

77'

Toure ↑ ·

Pinto Martins ↓

Subs used · RIO

26'

Monteiro ↑ ·

Guilherme ↓

50'

Nikitscher ↑ ·

Galcik ↓

82'

Vrousai ↑ ·

Blesa ↓

83'

Spikic ↑ ·

Bezerra ↓

83'

Brabec ↑ ·

Nascimento ↓

📊 Statistics

VIC 1 – 0 RIO

64%

Possession (%)

36%

1.48

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.31

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 0

D. Moreira ↓ · Weverson ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

19'

26'

⇄

T. Monteiro ↓ · Ryan Guilherme ↑

Substitution 1

F. Caseres

Yellow Card

▮

32'

Half-time · 0 – 0

47'

▮

A. Ntoi

Red Card

45+4'

▮

N. Abbey

Yellow Card

50'

⇄

T. Nikitscher ↓ · R. Galcik ↑

Substitution 2

J. Silva ↓ · D. Moreira ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

65'

Ze Carlos ↓ · F. Caseres ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

65'

H. Hernandez ↓ · A. Lausen ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

76'

T. Toure ↓ · G. Pinto Martins ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

77'

82'

⇄

M. Vrousai ↓ · J. Blesa ↑

Substitution 3

83'

⇄

D. Spikic ↓ · Diogo Bezerra ↑

Substitution 4

83'

⇄

J. Brabec ↓ · D. Nascimento ↑

Substitution 5

85'

▮

J. Brabec

Yellow Card

H. Hernandez (P)

Penalty · 1–0

⚽

87'

90+1'

▮

G. Liavas

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

GIL Vicente beat Rio Ave 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.48 to 0.31. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 6, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: H. Hernandez (87'). A. Ntoi was sent off in the 47' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.95 units (Brier 0.198).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.91	1.81	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.88	1.79	51%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.97	2.05	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.80	1.80	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.92	1.93	48%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
Home Win	1.85	1.98	48%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Away Win	4.10	3.85	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	1.05	90%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.50	9.01	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	1.28	72%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.29	3.50	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.27	1.30	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.37	3.25	27%	Cashed	+2.37	Cashed
Draw	3.58	3.34	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.22	1.25	74%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.79	2.74	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.46	1.46	46%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.95u	−17% ROI