🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 62% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams not to score 61%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
GIL Vicente arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a perfect recent record and higher expected goals, signaling attacking confidence. Casa Pia struggles on the road with poor form and limited offensive threat, suggesting a tactical edge for the hosts. The matchup hints at a compact defensive setup from Casa Pia, likely keeping the game tight and favoring under 2.5 goals.
- Home side's pressing edge and recent wins
- Away team's low scoring and form dip
- Likely cautious pace with defensive discipline
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 54% | GIL Vicente win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 62% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 61% | No |
| Double Chance | 79% | 1X |
- 1X2 GIL Vicente win 54%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62%
- BTTS No 61%
- Double Chance 1X 79%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Away Win · 4.62 ↑ 5.51 (+19%)
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
GIL Vicente
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
4 / 7
Avg goals / match
2.2
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.06 / 1.24
Casa Pia
W/D/L
1-2-2
Goals (for / against)
3 / 9
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
2/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.02 / 1.63
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
GIL Vicente wins when scoring first
75%
①
Casa Pia wins when scoring first
67%
⚽
GIL Vicente BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
Casa Pia BTTS rate · last 10
20%
↑
GIL Vicente Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Casa Pia Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
↩
GIL Vicente comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Casa Pia comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
GIL Vicente · last 10 at home
0–15
5%
16–30
5%
31–45
21%
46–60
16%
61–75
21%
76–90
32%
Casa Pia · last 10 away
0–15
33%
16–30
0%
31–45
33%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
33%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.
