🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 58% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams not to score 55%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Estoril hosts Rio Ave in a clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, though both sides have struggled for consistency. The home side shows signs of resilience with a draw and a loss recently, while Rio Ave's back-to-back defeats hint at defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a cautious tempo given the odds leaning towards fewer goals, with both teams likely to prioritize defensive solidity.
- Home momentum in defense could limit Rio Ave's attacking chances.
- Rio Ave's recent form suggests pressing for a breakthrough but risk exposure.
- Historical tight encounters hint at a compact, low-scoring match.
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 46% | Estoril win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 58% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 55% | No |
| Double Chance | 72% | 1X |
- 1X2 Estoril win 46%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58%
- BTTS No 55%
- Double Chance 1X 72%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Estoril
W/D/L
0-3-2
Goals (for / against)
4 / 8
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
xG (for / against)
1.04 / 1.88
Rio Ave
W/D/L
0-2-3
Goals (for / against)
2 / 8
Avg goals / match
2.0
Scored in
2/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
xG (for / against)
0.76 / 1.61
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Estoril wins when scoring first
0%
①
Rio Ave wins when scoring first
33%
⚽
Estoril BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
Rio Ave BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Estoril Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↑
Rio Ave Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↩
Estoril comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Rio Ave comeback rate · last 10
25%
🔥 Goal timing
Estoril · last 10 at home
0–15
0%
16–30
33%
31–45
7%
46–60
13%
61–75
20%
76–90
27%
Rio Ave · last 10 away
0–15
0%
16–30
0%
31–45
0%
46–60
60%
61–75
40%
76–90
0%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.
