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Home Portugal Primeira Liga GIL Vicente — Rio Ave

Predictions GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave August 9, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Sun 09 Aug · 19:30
1:0
Full-time
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
L L Away · last 5
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos · Barcelos Referee Gustavo Correia, Portugal
Home Win · VIC
48%
Best 2.05
Draw
25%
Best 3.48
Away Win · RIO
27%
Best 3.90
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.10
Fair odds
3.78
book 4.10 · +8.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 26% · EV +8.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (48%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 48.1%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 26.5%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 25.4%
Odds 3.58
Show model details
Implied probability 27.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 10%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 71.9%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 28.1%
Odds 3.29
Show model details
Implied probability 30.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 27.4%
Odds 3.37
Show model details
Implied probability 29.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 48.4%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 27.8%
Odds 2.79
Show model details
Implied probability 35.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 45.6%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 73.5%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
VIC – RIO @ 4.10
+8.6%
Edge
Forecast →