Match FC Porto vs Alverca August 9, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 7.00 — +9.8% better than the market.

FC Porto steps into this Primeira Liga clash with a clear home advantage, reflected in the odds favoring a strong home win. While detailed form and strength data are missing, the market suggests a moderately high-scoring game with a pace leaning towards open play. Porto's home edge and attacking potential likely challenge Alverca's defense, hinting at a match where the hosts control tempo and create chances.

Home momentum and crowd support
Alverca's defensive resilience tested
Potential for multiple goals given attacking intent

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 7.00 ✗ Lost

AI 16% Implied 14% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

POR 4-3-3 · ALV 3-4-3

POR · 4-3-3 3-4-3 · ALV

11 Pepê

Subs used · POR

58'

Sainz ↑ ·

Gomes ↓

58'

Rosario ↑ ·

Varela ↓

74'

Perez ↑ ·

Fernandes ↓

75'

Mora ↑ ·

Veiga ↓

82'

Gul ↑ ·

Silva ↓

Subs used · ALV

60'

J. Merheg ↑ ·

Semedo ↓

60'

Chissumba ↑ ·

Bojang ↓

74'

Kassary ↑ ·

Luccas ↓

79'

Essimi ↑ ·

Figueiredo ↓

📊 Statistics

POR 2 – 0 ALV

54%

Possession (%)

46%

2.59

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.66

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 2 – 0

▮

Matheus Mendes

Yellow Card

Andre Silva (P)

Penalty · 1–0

⚽

43'

▮

N. Touaizi

Yellow Card

G. Veiga (P)

Penalty · 2–0

⚽

44'

Half-time · 2 – 0

52'

▮

Y. Bojang

Yellow Card

B. Sainz ↓ · William Gomes ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

58'

P. Rosario ↓ · A. Varela ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

58'

60'

⇄

S. J. Merheg ↓ · V. Semedo ↑

Substitution 1

60'

⇄

Chissumba ↓ · Y. Bojang ↑

Substitution 2

74'

⇄

Z. Kassary ↓ · Ian Luccas ↑

Substitution 3

N. Perez ↓ · M. Fernandes ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

74'

R. Mora ↓ · G. Veiga ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

75'

79'

⇄

M. Essimi ↓ · Figueiredo ↑

Substitution 4

D. Gul ↓ · Andre Silva ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

82'

89'

▮

Chiquinho

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

FC Porto beat Alverca 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.59 to 1.66. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 10, 5 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Andre Silva (9'), G. Veiga (44').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.11 units (Brier 0.105).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.42	2.55	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.26	2.27	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.34	2.32	40%	Cashed	+1.34	Cashed
Away Win	16.00	14.08	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	4.75	4.50	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	10.50	9.26	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.57	1.50	61%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
BTTS No	1.57	1.57	59%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.53	1.62	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	7.00	6.49	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.02	94%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 0.5	16.75	14.93	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.15	1.17	81%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.90	4.50	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.03	1.04	86%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Home Win	1.18	1.20	71%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.03	1.02	71%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.11u	−36% ROI