🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward FC Porto to win — 72% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 67%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
FC Porto enters this clash with strong home momentum, having secured back-to-back wins. Their attacking threat is expected to challenge Arouca's defense, which has shown vulnerabilities. The visitors have also won recently but face a tough task containing Porto's dynamic offense. The pace hints at a moderately open game, with over 2.5 goals likely given Porto's scoring edge and Arouca's willingness to press forward.
- Home side's attacking pressure versus away defensive gaps
- Recent form favors Porto's consistency
- Moderate tempo suggests goal opportunities
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 72% | FC Porto win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 67% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 52% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 88% | 1X |
- 1X2 FC Porto win 72%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67%
- BTTS Yes 52%
- Double Chance 1X 88%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
FC Porto
W/D/L
4-0-1
Goals (for / against)
7 / 3
Avg goals / match
2.0
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
4/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
xG (for / against)
1.82 / 0.99
Arouca
W/D/L
4-1-0
Goals (for / against)
13 / 4
Avg goals / match
3.4
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-0-0
xG (for / against)
1.27 / 1.17
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
FC Porto wins when scoring first
100%
①
Arouca wins when scoring first
86%
⚽
FC Porto BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
Arouca BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
FC Porto Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
↑
Arouca Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
FC Porto comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Arouca comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
FC Porto · last 10 at home
0–15
17%
16–30
11%
31–45
22%
46–60
6%
61–75
11%
76–90
33%
Arouca · last 10 away
0–15
8%
16–30
0%
31–45
17%
46–60
25%
61–75
42%
76–90
8%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.
