Match Athletic Club vs Villarreal April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.67 — +8.7% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.67 ✓ Cashed

AI 65% Implied 60% +0.67u

+67%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BIL 4-2-3-1 · VIL 4-4-2

BIL · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · VIL

11 Guruzeta ⚽

Subs used · BIL

46'

Gorosabel ↑ ·

Lekue ↓

66'

Berenguer ↑ ·

Sancet ↓

66'

Navarro ↑ ·

Williams ↓

66'

Rego ↑ ·

Ruiz de Galarreta ↓

82'

Serrano ↑ ·

Williams ↓

Subs used · VIL

46'

Marin ↑ ·

Navarro ↓

69'

Pepe ↑ ·

Gonzalez ↓

69'

Mikautadze ↑ ·

Oluwaseyi ↓

78'

Moleiro ↑ ·

Buchanan ↓

82'

Parejo ↑ ·

Gueye ↓

📊 Statistics

BIL 1 – 2 VIL

61%

Possession (%)

39%

1.21

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.10

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

18 · 1 – 2

19'

▮

Pau Navarro

Yellow Card

26'

⚽

S. Cardona

Assist · T. Oluwaseyi · 0–1

45'

⚽

A. Gonzalez

0–2

Half-time · 0 – 2

A. Gorosabel ↓ · I. Lekue ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

⇄

R. Marin ↓ · P. Navarro ↑

Substitution 1

A. Berenguer ↓ · O. Sancet ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

66'

R. Navarro ↓ · N. Williams ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

66'

A. Rego ↓ · I. Ruiz de Galarreta ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

66'

69'

⇄

N. Pepe ↓ · A. Gonzalez ↑

Substitution 2

69'

⇄

G. Mikautadze ↓ · T. Oluwaseyi ↑

Substitution 3

75'

▮

Santi Comesaña

Yellow Card

77'

▮

Tajon Buchanan

Yellow Card

78'

⇄

A. Moleiro ↓ · T. Buchanan ↑

Substitution 4

N. Serrano ↓ · I. Williams ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

82'

⇄

D. Parejo ↓ · P. Gueye ↑

Substitution 5

G. Guruzeta

Assist · Y. Berchiche · 1–2

⚽

84'

Gorka Guruzeta

Yellow Card

▮

90+1'

Andoni Gorosabel

Yellow Card

▮

90+1'

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Villarreal won 2–1 away at Athletic Club. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 12, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 15 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: S. Cardona (26'), A. Gonzalez (45'), G. Guruzeta (84').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.37 units (Brier 0.159).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.67	—	65%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.99	—	51%	Cashed	+0.99	Cashed
BTTS No	2.18	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.97	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.75	—	55%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.30	—	40%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
Home Win	2.34	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.72	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.20	—	40%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.41	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.40	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.31	—	76%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	93%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.95	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.35	—	71%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Draw	3.68	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.37u	−14% ROI