🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams to score — 54% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Atletico Madrid face Villarreal with limited recent form data, but historical clashes suggest a competitive encounter. Villarreal's slight recent momentum and defensive steadiness could challenge Atletico's home advantage. Expect a balanced tempo given even odds on goals, with set-piece situations likely pivotal.
- Villarreal's resilience may blunt Atletico's attack
- Home side's compact block could control midfield
- Moderate pace hints at tactical caution
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 47% | Atletico Madrid win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 50% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 54% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 72% | 1X |
- 1X2 Atletico Madrid win 47%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50%
- BTTS Yes 54%
- Double Chance 1X 72%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Atletico Madrid
W/D/L
3-0-2
Goals (for / against)
6 / 7
Avg goals / match
2.6
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
xG (for / against)
1.52 / 1.41
Villarreal
W/D/L
1-2-2
Goals (for / against)
10 / 9
Avg goals / match
3.8
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
xG (for / against)
1.25 / 1.46
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Atletico Madrid wins when scoring first
80%
①
Villarreal wins when scoring first
57%
⚽
Atletico Madrid BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
Villarreal BTTS rate · last 10
80%
↑
Atletico Madrid Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↑
Villarreal Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Atletico Madrid comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Villarreal comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Atletico Madrid · last 10 at home
0–15
12%
16–30
18%
31–45
6%
46–60
24%
61–75
18%
76–90
24%
Villarreal · last 10 away
0–15
10%
16–30
10%
31–45
40%
46–60
20%
61–75
0%
76–90
20%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.
