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Home Spain La Liga Athletic Club — Sevilla

Preview Athletic Club vs Sevilla August 22, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Home · last 5 W L L D L
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 15:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Sevilla
Sevilla
W Away · last 5
Home Win · BIL
51%
Best 1.77
Draw
26%
Best 3.80
Away Win · SEV
23%
Best 5.38

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 57% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

With limited recent form data, this La Liga opener between Athletic Club and Sevilla hints at a cautious encounter. The odds suggest a moderately low-scoring game, reflecting a likely compact defensive setup from both sides. Athletic's home advantage could provide a slight edge, but Sevilla's resilience on the road may keep the match tight.

  • Home side's familiarity with the pitch may boost confidence.
  • Both teams likely to prioritize defensive solidity early season.
  • Odds indicate a balanced contest with under 2.5 goals probable.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 51% Athletic Club win
Over/Under 2.5 57% Under 2.5
BTTS 54% No
Double Chance 77% 1X
  • 1X2 Athletic Club win 51%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57%
  • BTTS No 54%
  • Double Chance 1X 77%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Athletic Club
W/D/L 1-1-3
Goals (for / against) 7 / 10
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.23 / 0.88
Sevilla
W/D/L 3-0-2
Goals (for / against) 7 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.24 / 1.24

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
0
Goals Scored
2
0
Goals Conceded
1
0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
0
Shots on Target
4
0
Corners
1
0
Possession (%)
49
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
83
DEF · home
17
OFF · away
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Athletic Club wins when scoring first
67%
Sevilla wins when scoring first
67%
Athletic Club BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Sevilla BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Athletic Club Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Sevilla Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Athletic Club comeback rate · last 10
25%
Sevilla comeback rate · last 10
25%

🔥 Goal timing

Athletic Club · last 10 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 23%
31–45 23%
46–60 8%
61–75 8%
76–90 38%

Sevilla · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 33%
46–60 0%
61–75 42%
76–90 25%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

Peque Fernández
SEV · Attacker
1 G
Jon Guridi
SEV · Midfielder
1 G