Match Rayo Vallecano vs Levante March 16, 2026 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Mon 16 Mar · 20:00
1:1
Full-time
Estadio de Vallecas · Madrid
Referee César Soto Grado, Spain
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.98
✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 44% · book 2.29
✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 1.96
✗
xG (open play)
1.70 – 1.24
Δ +0.46
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Away Win at 5.40 — +10.9% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 5.40
✗ Lost
AI 21%
Implied 19%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
RAY 4-3-3 · LEV 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
RAY 1
– 1 LEV
1.70
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.24
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
⏱ Match events
21 · 1 – 1
Jorge de Frutos
Yellow Card
▮
40'
41'
⚽
C. Espi
Assist · I. Losada · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
A. Garcia ↓ · G. Gumbau ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
I. Akhomach ↓ · F. Perez ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
55'
⇄
F. Cortes ↓ · K. Tunde ↑
Substitution 1
58'
▮
Jeremy Toljan
Yellow Card
I. Palazon ↓ · O. Valentin ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
65'
A. Ratiu ↓ · Alemao ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
65'
74'
⇄
K. Arriaga ↓ · I. Losada ↑
Substitution 2
74'
⇄
U. Raghouber ↓ · I. Romero ↑
Substitution 3
74'
⇄
J. Morales ↓ · V. Garcia ↑
Substitution 4
P. Ciss ↓ · I. Balliu ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
76'
84'
⇄
K. Etta Eyong ↓ · C. Espi ↑
Substitution 5
88'
▮
Matias Moreno
Yellow Card
P. Ciss
Assist · F. Lejeune · 1–1
⚽
90'
90+4'
▮
Manuel Sánchez
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1
Match recap
Rayo Vallecano and Levante drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.
On the scoresheet: C. Espi (41'), P. Ciss (90'). Nobel Mendy was sent off in the 53' minute.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.86 units (Brier 0.172).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Under 2.5 |
1.98 |
— |
53% |
Cashed |
+0.98 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
2.29 |
— |
44% |
Cashed |
+1.29 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
1.96 |
— |
51% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
1.74 |
— |
56% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.94 |
— |
49% |
Cashed |
+0.94 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.97 |
— |
47% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
5.40 |
— |
21% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
3.85 |
— |
28% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.20 |
— |
79% |
Cashed |
+0.20 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.36 |
— |
74% |
Cashed |
+0.36 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
11.90 |
— |
8% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.06 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.06 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.30 |
— |
72% |
Cashed |
+0.30 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
4.01 |
— |
23% |
Cashed |
+3.01 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
3.40 |
— |
26% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
4.03 |
— |
21% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.27 |
— |
56% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−1.86u |
−11% ROI |
