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Home Spain La Liga Rayo Vallecano — Levante

Predictions Rayo Vallecano vs Levante March 16, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Home · last 5 W D D W W
Kick-off
Mon 16 Mar · 20:00
1:1
Full-time
Levante
Levante
L W W W L Away · last 5
Estadio de Vallecas · Madrid Referee César Soto Grado, Spain
Home Win · RAY
56%
Best 1.70
Draw
24%
Best 3.75
Away Win · LEV
21%
Best 5.08
Value pick
Away Win
@ 5.40
Fair odds
4.87
book 5.40 · +10.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 21% · EV +10.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (56%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 56%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 20.5%
Odds 5.40
Show model details
Implied probability 18.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23.5%
Odds 4.01
Show model details
Implied probability 24.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 53%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 47%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 27.6%
Odds 3.85
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.5%
Odds 11.90
Show model details
Implied probability 8.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.4%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 20.5%
Odds 4.03
Show model details
Implied probability 24.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 56%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 44%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79.5%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
RAY – LEV @ 5.40
+10.9%
Edge
Forecast →