Match Charleroi vs Genk May 2, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.43 — +5.1% better than the market.

Genk arrives with a clear quality edge and a slightly better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Charleroi's defensive solidity at home could keep things tight, but Genk's sharper attack against a somewhat vulnerable defense hints at scoring chances. The match may see a balanced tempo with moderate goal potential, reflecting their recent head-to-head draws and competitive spirit.

Genk's offensive edge vs Charleroi's defense
Home defensive resilience from Charleroi
Close recent encounters suggest a tactical, cautious game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.43 ✗ Lost

AI 73% Implied 70% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CHA 4-2-3-1 · GEN 4-2-3-1

CHA · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · GEN

21 Scheidler

📊 Statistics

CHA 2 – 0 GEN

49%

Possession (%)

51%

1.52

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.45

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Charleroi beat Genk 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 11, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.44 units (Brier 0.233).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.42	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.28	—	43%	Cashed	+1.28	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.11	—	46%	Cashed	+1.11	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.74	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.68	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.76	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.08	—	27%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.43	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	67%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.56	—	52%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Home Win	2.85	—	27%	Cashed	+1.85	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.33	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	78%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.54	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.44u	−14% ROI