Match FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske April 4, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 6.10 — +13.3% better than the market.

FC Midtjylland holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, backed by a solid recent run and a strong attacking profile against Sonderjyske's moderate defense. The home side's pressing and set-piece threat could exploit the away team's vulnerabilities, especially given Sonderjyske's lower offensive output. Expect a controlled tempo with Midtjylland dictating play and likely limiting chances conceded.

Home advantage with tactical solidity
Midtjylland's attacking edge vs Sonderjyske defense
Moderate pace hint favors structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 6.10 ✗ Lost

AI 19% Implied 16% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MID 3-4-3 · SON 4-2-3-1

MID · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · SON

58 Simsir

📊 Statistics

MID 2 – 2 SON

55%

Possession (%)

45%

1.90

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.98

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

68%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Midtjylland and Sonderjyske drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 7, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 5. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.72 units (Brier 0.215).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.80	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.72	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.32	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	56%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.75	—	31%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.18	—	38%	Cashed	+1.18	Cashed
Home Win	1.48	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.10	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.15	—	89%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.50	—	60%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.18	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	21.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	95%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	4.90	—	20%	Cashed	+3.90	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.15	—	81%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Away Win	6.25	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.80	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.72u	−4% ROI