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Home Denmark Superliga FC Midtjylland — Randers FC

Preview FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC August 23, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Denmark   /   Superliga Value pick inside
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Home · last 5 W W D
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 12:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Randers FC
Randers FC
D L W L Away · last 5
MCH Arena · Herning Referee J. Maae
Home Win · MID
61%
Best 1.46
Draw
22%
Best 4.50
Away Win · RAN
18%
Best 6.50

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward FC Midtjylland to win — 61% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

FC Midtjylland shows clear home momentum with a strong recent run and higher points per game, suggesting they hold the upper hand against Randers FC. The home side's attacking edge combined with Randers' inconsistent form points to a controlled game likely favoring Midtjylland. Expect a tactical battle with Midtjylland pressing to capitalize on their home advantage.

  • Midtjylland's solid home form and offensive threat
  • Randers' struggle to maintain consistency away
  • Moderate pace hinted by odds suggests a balanced tempo

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 61% FC Midtjylland win
Over/Under 2.5 53% Over 2.5
BTTS 51% Yes
Double Chance 82% 1X
  • 1X2 FC Midtjylland win 61%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53%
  • BTTS Yes 51%
  • Double Chance 1X 82%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
FC Midtjylland
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 6 / 7
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.19 / 0.71
Randers FC
W/D/L 1-1-3
Goals (for / against) 3 / 11
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 2/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 1/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 0.72 / 1.92

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2
Goals Scored
0.75
1.33
Goals Conceded
1.50
1.19
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
4.67
Shots on Target
2.25
5.33
Corners
4.50
57.67
Possession (%)
44.25
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
67
OFF · home
0
100
DEF · home
42
42
OFF · away
17
83
DEF · away
8
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

FC Midtjylland wins when scoring first
Randers FC wins when scoring first
FC Midtjylland BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Randers FC BTTS rate · last 10
40%
FC Midtjylland Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Randers FC Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
FC Midtjylland comeback rate · last 10
0%
Randers FC comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

FC Midtjylland · last 10 at home

0–15 11%
16–30 15%
31–45 19%
46–60 7%
61–75 19%
76–90 30%

Randers FC · last 6 away

0–15 15%
16–30 15%
31–45 0%
46–60 71%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

V. Byskov
MID · Attacker
1 G · 0.56 g/90
Julius Emefile
MID · Midfielder
1 G · 1.00 g/90
M. Themsen
RAN · Midfielder
1 G · 0.26 g/90
K. Junker
RAN · Attacker
1 G · 0.83 g/90