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Home Denmark Superliga Sonderjyske — FC Nordsjaelland

Preview Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland August 23, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Denmark   /   Superliga Value pick inside
Sonderjyske
Sonderjyske
Home · last 5 L L D L
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 10:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland
D W W Away · last 5
Referee M. Krogh
Home Win · SON
28%
Best 3.74
Draw
23%
Best 4.10
Away Win · NOR
50%
Best 1.83

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 67% probability.

Also rated highly: both teams to score 63%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

FC Nordsjaelland enter this clash with clear momentum, boasting better recent form and higher scoring potential than Sonderjyske, who have struggled to find consistency at home. The away side's sharper attack against a home defense that has been leaky suggests Nordsjaelland could control the tempo and create key chances.

  • Strong away form and goal threat
  • Home side's defensive vulnerabilities
  • Likely open game with scoring opportunities

Expect a lively encounter where Nordsjaelland’s pressing edge and attacking rhythm may outmatch Sonderjyske’s compact block, especially given the home side’s recent low points per game. Goals seem probable, with both teams showing signs of offensive intent.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 49% FC Nordsjaelland win
Over/Under 2.5 67% Over 2.5
BTTS 63% Yes
Double Chance 73% X2
  • 1X2 FC Nordsjaelland win 49%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67%
  • BTTS Yes 63%
  • Double Chance X2 73%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Sonderjyske
W/D/L 0-1-4
Goals (for / against) 5 / 11
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-2
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.04 / 1.61
FC Nordsjaelland
W/D/L 3-2-0
Goals (for / against) 7 / 2
Avg goals / match 1.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 2.66 / 1.01

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
1
1.75
Goals Conceded
0.33
0.84
Expected Goals (xG)
2.82
3.75
Shots on Target
6
4.75
Corners
10.67
39
Possession (%)
64
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
8
OFF · home
92
58
DEF · home
92
17
OFF · away
92
33
DEF · away
42
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Sonderjyske wins when scoring first
FC Nordsjaelland wins when scoring first
Sonderjyske BTTS rate · last 10
50%
FC Nordsjaelland BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Sonderjyske Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
FC Nordsjaelland Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
Sonderjyske comeback rate · last 10
0%
FC Nordsjaelland comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Sonderjyske · last 5 at home

0–15 14%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 29%
61–75 14%
76–90 43%

FC Nordsjaelland · last 5 away

0–15 25%
16–30 0%
31–45 38%
46–60 25%
61–75 0%
76–90 13%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

M. Haidara
SON · Attacker
2 G · 0.49 g/90
M. Jensen
SON · Defender
1 G · 0.49 g/90
N. Røjkjær
NOR · Midfielder
1 G · 0.51 g/90
R. Norheim
NOR · Midfielder
1 G · 0.50 g/90