Match Utrecht vs Genk January 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 3.55 — +10.0% better than the market.

Both teams arrive in poor shape, so this has the feel of a tense, error-prone matchup rather than a free-flowing game. Utrecht should get a small boost from playing at home, but neither side has been convincing at turning pressure into clean chances. Genk can still be dangerous in spells, especially if Utrecht’s build-up becomes sloppy and the game opens up in transition.

Overall, this looks very balanced: a tight contest where momentum could swing on one key moment, with neither team clearly strong enough to fully control the match for 90 minutes.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Draw

Draw @ 3.55 ✗ Lost

AI 31% Implied 28% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

UTR 4-3-3 · GEN 4-1-4-1

UTR · 4-3-3 4-1-4-1 · GEN

10 Cathline

📊 Statistics

UTR 0 – 2 GEN

57%

Possession (%)

43%

2.09

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.66

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Genk won 2–0 away at Utrecht. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 12, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 7 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.77 units (Brier 0.203).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

13 · 7 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.90	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.55	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.53	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	93%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.28	—	76%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.40	—	70%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
BTTS No	2.26	—	44%	Cashed	+1.26	Cashed
Home Win	2.78	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.05	—	47%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.50	—	65%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.15	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.66	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.68	—	34%	Cashed	+1.68	Cashed
Total · 13 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 6 L	−0.77u	−6% ROI