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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Sparta Rotterdam — Utrecht

Preview Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht August 22, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
Home · last 5 L W
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 16:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Utrecht
Utrecht
L L Away · last 5
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel · Rotterdam Referee D. Higler
Home Win · SPA
35%
Best 2.66
Draw
27%
Best 3.60
Away Win · UTR
39%
Best 2.65

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 62% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 60%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Sparta Rotterdam hosts Utrecht in a match where the visitors show better recent form despite Sparta's home momentum. Utrecht's higher expected goals suggest they carry an attacking edge, but Sparta's resilience at home could keep the game tight. The odds hint at a moderately open game with a decent chance of goals, supported by both sides' tendencies to find the net.

  • Utrecht's stronger recent form and attacking threat
  • Sparta's home resilience and compact block
  • Moderate pace expected with goal-scoring opportunities

Expect a competitive encounter with chances on both ends, where tactical discipline and set-piece moments might decide the outcome.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 39% Utrecht win
Over/Under 2.5 60% Over 2.5
BTTS 62% Yes
Double Chance 65% X2
  • 1X2 Utrecht win 39%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60%
  • BTTS Yes 62%
  • Double Chance X2 65%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Sparta Rotterdam
W/D/L 1-1-3
Goals (for / against) 7 / 11
Avg goals / match 3.6
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-2
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.70 / 1.99
Utrecht
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 7 / 8
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.65 / 1.34

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.50
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
3
1.58
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
4.50
Shots on Target
4.50
5
Corners
2
40
Possession (%)
44.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
28
OFF · home
22
6
DEF · home
50
56
OFF · away
67
56
DEF · away
44
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Sparta Rotterdam wins when scoring first
Utrecht wins when scoring first
Sparta Rotterdam BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Utrecht BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Sparta Rotterdam Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Utrecht Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Sparta Rotterdam comeback rate · last 10
0%
Utrecht comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Sparta Rotterdam · last 3 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 50%
31–45 0%
46–60 25%
61–75 0%
76–90 25%

Utrecht · last 6 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 40%
46–60 20%
61–75 30%
76–90 10%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

N. Þórisson
SPA · Attacker
1 G · 0.61 g/90
M. Young
SPA · Midfielder
1 G · 0.48 g/90
A. Blake
UTR · Attacker
1 G