Match Samsunspor vs Başakşehir December 14, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.34 — +5.5% better than the market.

Samsunspor holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, showing solid recent form with two wins in their last five. Their defensive resilience could challenge Istanbul Basaksehir, who have struggled away and show signs of inconsistency. The home side's attacking threat slightly outmatches the visitors' defense, suggesting a tactical upper hand.

Home crowd support at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Stronger defensive organization for Samsunspor
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.34 ✗ Lost

AI 79% Implied 75% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SAM 4-1-4-1 · IST 4-2-3-1

SAM · 4-1-4-1 4-2-3-1 · IST

19 Ndiaye

📊 Statistics

SAM 0 – 2 IST

53%

Possession (%)

47%

0.59

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.99

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Başakşehir won 2–0 away at Samsunspor. At half-time it was 0–0.

From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.31 units (Brier 0.245).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.22	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.22	—	46%	Cashed	+1.22	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.01	—	50%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.90	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.73	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.73	—	47%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.52	—	21%	Cashed	+1.52	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.34	—	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.15	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.55	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.39	—	71%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.82	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	92%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.29	—	74%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Under 0.5	12.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.55	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.47	—	21%	Cashed	+2.47	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.31u	−8% ROI

Match Samsunspor vs Başakşehir December 14, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.34 — +5.5% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled