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Home Turkey Süper Lig Rizespor — Samsunspor

Preview Rizespor vs Samsunspor August 22, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Rizespor
Rizespor
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 16:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
D Away · last 5
Home Win · RIZ
42%
Best 2.44
Draw
27%
Best 3.40
Away Win · SAM
31%
Best 3.22

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 64% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 63%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Rizespor hosts Samsunspor in a Süper Lig clash

Rizespor arrives with strong home momentum after a recent win, while Samsunspor's form shows signs of resilience with a draw. The home side likely holds a mild advantage in pressing and set-piece threat, but Samsunspor's compact defensive block could keep things tight. Expect a moderately paced game with chances at both ends, supported by odds favoring over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

  • Rizespor’s home edge and recent win boost confidence
  • Samsunspor’s defensive solidity may limit clear-cut chances
  • Odds suggest an open game with goal opportunities for both sides

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 42% Rizespor win
Over/Under 2.5 63% Over 2.5
BTTS 64% Yes
Double Chance 69% 1X
  • 1X2 Rizespor win 42%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63%
  • BTTS Yes 64%
  • Double Chance 1X 69%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Rizespor
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 6 / 10
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.48 / 1.37
Samsunspor
W/D/L 3-1-1
Goals (for / against) 13 / 9
Avg goals / match 4.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 5/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.59 / 1.90

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
3
0
Goals Conceded
3
1.46
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74
5
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
57
Possession (%)
69
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
78
DEF · home
22
67
OFF · away
100
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Rizespor wins when scoring first
Samsunspor wins when scoring first
Rizespor BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Samsunspor BTTS rate · last 10
80%
Rizespor Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Samsunspor Over 2.5 · last 10
100%
Rizespor comeback rate · last 10
33%
Samsunspor comeback rate · last 10
50%

🔥 Goal timing

Rizespor · last 3 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 50%
61–75 0%
76–90 50%

Samsunspor · last 4 away

0–15 25%
16–30 25%
31–45 0%
46–60 25%
61–75 0%
76–90 25%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

Q. Laçi
RIZ · Midfielder
1 G · 1.00 g/90
C. Yüksel
SAM · Midfielder
1 G · 0.94 g/90
E. Kılınç
SAM · Midfielder
1 G · 0.94 g/90