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Home Turkey Süper Lig Trabzonspor — Başakşehir

Preview Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir August 23, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor
Home · last 5 D
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 16:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Başakşehir
Başakşehir
W Away · last 5
Papara Park · Trabzon
Home Win · TRA
43%
Best 2.17
Draw
25%
Best 3.70
Away Win · IST
32%
Best 3.37

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 58% probability.

Also rated highly: both teams to score 58%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Trabzonspor hosts Başakşehir in a Süper Lig clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, who arrive on a winning streak compared to Trabzonspor's draw. The home side's familiar surroundings at Papara Park could provide a pressing edge, but Başakşehir's momentum and tactical discipline suggest a tightly contested match. Expect a balanced tempo with both teams probing cautiously.

  • Home advantage may boost Trabzonspor's compact block.
  • Başakşehir's recent wins hint at growing confidence.
  • Moderate pace likely, with chances on set-pieces.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 43% Trabzonspor win
Over/Under 2.5 58% Over 2.5
BTTS 58% Yes
Double Chance 68% 1X
  • 1X2 Trabzonspor win 43%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58%
  • BTTS Yes 58%
  • Double Chance 1X 68%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Trabzonspor
W/D/L 1-2-2
Goals (for / against) 5 / 8
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 0.99 / 1.66
Başakşehir
W/D/L 4-0-1
Goals (for / against) 12 / 4
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 3-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 2.12 / 0.75

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
2
1
Goals Conceded
0
0.79
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
5
Shots on Target
5
10
Corners
8
59
Possession (%)
51
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
67
DEF · home
78
44
OFF · away
44
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Trabzonspor wins when scoring first
Başakşehir wins when scoring first
Trabzonspor BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Başakşehir BTTS rate · last 10
30%
Trabzonspor Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
Başakşehir Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Trabzonspor comeback rate · last 10
0%
Başakşehir comeback rate · last 10

🔥 Goal timing

Trabzonspor · last 4 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 25%
31–45 25%
46–60 25%
61–75 25%
76–90 0%

Başakşehir · last 3 away

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 0%
46–60 33%
61–75 67%
76–90 0%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

N. Saviolo
TRA · Midfielder
1 G
M. Mimaroğlu
TRA · Midfielder
0 G
E. Shomurodov
IST · Midfielder
1 G
C. Operi
IST · Defender
1 G · 1.00 g/90