Match PEC Zwolle vs Groningen March 13, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 2.30 — +14.1% better than the market.

Groningen holds a clear quality edge and offensive advantage over PEC Zwolle, who struggle defensively. Despite PEC Zwolle's slight home momentum, recent form favors Groningen, who have shown signs of pressing higher and creating more chances. Expect a tactical battle where Groningen's sharper attack tests Zwolle's compact block, with a moderate pace suggested by balanced goal odds.

Groningen's offensive edge vs Zwolle's defense
Home side's recent poor form vs away's slight uplift
Moderate tempo with potential for goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 2.30 ✗ Lost

AI 50% Implied 43% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ZWO 4-2-3-1 · GRO 4-4-2

ZWO · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · GRO

10 Kostons

📊 Statistics

ZWO 1 – 1 GRO

50%

Possession (%)

50%

2.16

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.09

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

PEC Zwolle and Groningen drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.94 units (Brier 0.165).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.30	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.38	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.20	—	45%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.65	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.70	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.50	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.62	—	50%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.10	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.40	—	74%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	66%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	57%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Home Win	2.90	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.50	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	94%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.18	—	78%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	25%	Cashed	+2.60	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.94u	−17% ROI