🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 82% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 72%, PSV Eindhoven to win 62%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
PSV Eindhoven hosts Groningen in a match where attacking intent is clear from both sides, reflected in recent high-scoring encounters. Despite PSV's modest recent form, Groningen's stronger momentum and higher scoring rate suggest a lively contest. The home side's pressing edge and set-piece threat could challenge Groningen's defense, but the visitors' sharp counterattacks may exploit gaps.
- Home pressing and set-piece threat
- Groningen's recent winning streak and scoring form
- Likely open game with over 2.5 goals
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 62% | PSV Eindhoven win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 82% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 72% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 80% | 1X |
- 1X2 PSV Eindhoven win 62%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82%
- BTTS Yes 72%
- Double Chance 1X 80%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
PSV Eindhoven
W/D/L
3-2-0
Goals (for / against)
15 / 7
Avg goals / match
4.4
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
5/5
Over 2.5
5/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
xG (for / against)
2.22 / 0.93
Groningen
W/D/L
4-0-1
Goals (for / against)
10 / 6
Avg goals / match
3.2
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-0-1
xG (for / against)
1.53 / 1.44
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
PSV Eindhoven wins when scoring first
—
①
Groningen wins when scoring first
—
⚽
PSV Eindhoven BTTS rate · last 10
90%
⚽
Groningen BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
PSV Eindhoven Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
↑
Groningen Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
PSV Eindhoven comeback rate · last 10
33%
↩
Groningen comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
PSV Eindhoven · last 5 at home
0–15
15%
16–30
0%
31–45
23%
46–60
23%
61–75
15%
76–90
23%
Groningen · last 3 away
0–15
0%
16–30
0%
31–45
50%
46–60
0%
61–75
25%
76–90
25%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.
