🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Heerenveen to win — 56% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 55%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Heerenveen shows stronger recent form and home momentum against a struggling PEC Zwolle side. The hosts have the edge in points per game and have historically dominated this fixture, suggesting a compact defensive setup to control the match. Expect a moderate tempo with a focus on set-piece threats and exploiting Zwolle's defensive lapses.
- Home form advantage and historical dominance
- PEC Zwolle's recent poor run and defensive vulnerabilities
- Likely controlled pace with tactical discipline from Heerenveen
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 56% | Heerenveen win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 55% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 53% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 78% | 1X |
- 1X2 Heerenveen win 56%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55%
- BTTS Yes 53%
- Double Chance 1X 78%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Heerenveen
W/D/L
1-2-2
Goals (for / against)
5 / 7
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
xG (for / against)
1.05 / 1.85
PEC Zwolle
W/D/L
1-0-4
Goals (for / against)
4 / 10
Avg goals / match
2.8
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
xG (for / against)
0.66 / 1.96
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Heerenveen wins when scoring first
—
①
PEC Zwolle wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Heerenveen BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
PEC Zwolle BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Heerenveen Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
PEC Zwolle Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Heerenveen comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
PEC Zwolle comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Heerenveen · last 4 at home
0–15
14%
16–30
14%
31–45
14%
46–60
29%
61–75
14%
76–90
14%
PEC Zwolle · last 4 away
0–15
17%
16–30
0%
31–45
33%
46–60
33%
61–75
17%
76–90
0%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.
