Match Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam February 28, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.35 — +6.4% better than the market.

Heerenveen enters this clash with a clear quality edge and home momentum, boasting a stronger attack against Sparta's average defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Sparta's away struggles persist despite some late wins. Expect Heerenveen to leverage their home advantage and pressing edge to control the game tempo.

Heerenveen's offensive strength vs Sparta's defense favors home pressure
Home form slightly better, suggesting confidence at Abe Lenstra Stadion
Moderate pace expected, with chances for goals on both ends

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.35 ✓ Cashed

AI 79% Implied 74% +0.35u

+35%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HEE 4-3-3 · SPA 4-2-3-1

HEE · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · SPA

7 Rivera

📊 Statistics

HEE 2 – 1 SPA

44%

Possession (%)

56%

1.29

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.83

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Heerenveen beat Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.02 units (Brier 0.104).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.09	—	55%	Cashed	+1.09	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.65	—	61%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.55	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.55	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.38	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.80	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.51	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.35	—	79%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.54	—	62%	Cashed	+0.54	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.55	—	61%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.55	—	55%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.21	—	82%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.95	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.00	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.45	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.02u	−30% ROI

Match Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam February 28, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.35 — +6.4% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled