Match Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle February 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.30 — +13.2% better than the market.

Utrecht hosts PEC Zwolle in a tightly matched Eredivisie clash. Despite Zwolle's slight overall quality edge, Utrecht's home advantage and recent form give them a mild upper hand. The home side's defensive solidity contrasts with Zwolle's leaky backline, suggesting a tactical battle where Utrecht's compact block could frustrate visitors.

Home momentum from better recent results
Defensive resilience vs. away attacking pressure
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.30 ✓ Cashed

AI 49% Implied 43% +1.30u

+130%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

UTR 4-2-3-1 · ZWO 4-3-3

UTR · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · ZWO

18 Stepanov

📊 Statistics

UTR 1 – 1 ZWO

54%

Possession (%)

46%

2.11

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.85

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Utrecht and PEC Zwolle drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.11 to 0.85. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 9, 3 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.68 units (Brier 0.168).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.30	—	49%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.14	—	51%	Cashed	+1.14	Cashed
BTTS No	2.08	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	51%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.80	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.67	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.30	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.25	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.42	—	72%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.19	—	73%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.30	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.90	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	92%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	4.15	—	23%	Cashed	+3.15	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.27	—	74%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.26	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.68u	−10% ROI