Match Sporting CP vs Benfica April 19, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.37 — +6.8% better than the market.

Sporting CP hosts Benfica in a tightly poised Primeira Liga clash. Sporting’s stronger overall quality and home momentum offer a slight edge, supported by their sharper attack against Benfica’s defense. Both teams show solid recent form, but Sporting’s compact block and set-piece threat could be decisive. Expect a competitive game with a good chance of goals given the attacking tendencies and pace hinted by the odds.

Home edge in quality and attack-defense matchup
Recent form favors Sporting’s consistency
Potential for open play and goal-scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.37 ✗ Lost

AI 78% Implied 73% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPO 4-2-3-1 · BEN 4-2-3-1

SPO · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · BEN

97 Suárez

Subs used · SPO

60'

Debast ↑ ·

Diomande ↓

61'

Vagiannidis ↑ ·

Quaresma ↓

68'

Quenda ↑ ·

Pote ↓

88'

Braganca ↑ ·

Morita ↓

88'

Nel ↑ ·

Catamo ↓

Subs used · BEN

77'

Pavlidis ↑ ·

Ivanovic ↓

78'

Silva ↑ ·

Schjelderup ↓

78'

Lukebakio ↑ ·

Prestianni ↓

78'

Silva ↑ ·

Araujo ↓

90+4'

Barrenechea ↑ ·

Barreiro ↓

📊 Statistics

SPO 1 – 2 BEN

61%

Possession (%)

39%

1.66

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.27

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 2

27'

⚽

A. Schjelderup (P)

Penalty · 0–1

Morten Hjulmand

Yellow Card

▮

36'

Half-time · 0 – 1

Rui Silva

Yellow Card

▮

53'

Z. Debast ↓ · O. Diomande ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

60'

G. Vagiannidis ↓ · E. Quaresma ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

61'

G. Quenda ↓ · Pote ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

68'

H. Morita

Assist · Z. Debast · 1–1

⚽

72'

75'

▮

Anatoliy Trubin

Yellow Card

77'

⇄

V. Pavlidis ↓ · F. Ivanovic ↑

Substitution 1

78'

⇄

Rafa Silva ↓ · A. Schjelderup ↑

Substitution 2

78'

⇄

D. Lukebakio ↓ · G. Prestianni ↑

Substitution 3

78'

⇄

A. Silva ↓ · T. Araujo ↑

Substitution 4

D. Braganca ↓ · H. Morita ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

88'

R. Nel ↓ · G. Catamo ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

90'

⚽

Rafa Silva

Assist · L. Barreiro · 1–2

90+4'

⇄

E. Barrenechea ↓ · L. Barreiro ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Benfica won 2–1 away at Sporting CP. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.27 to 1.66. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 14, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Schjelderup (27'), H. Morita (72'), Rafa Silva (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.38 units (Brier 0.216).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.78	—	65%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Home Win	2.19	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	65%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.72	—	47%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
BTTS No	2.28	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.13	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.43	—	22%	Cashed	+1.43	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.87	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.37	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.25	—	84%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.58	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.45	—	55%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	95%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.32	—	22%	Cashed	+2.32	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.30	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.50	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.38u	−14% ROI