🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Benfica to win — 76% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 72%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Benfica enters this Europa League clash with solid home momentum, showing resilience in recent matches. Despite limited data on Aarhus, the home side’s attacking potential and familiarity with the pitch likely give them a pressing edge. The market hints at a moderately open game with a decent chance of goals, though Benfica’s compact block and set-piece threat could be decisive.
- Home momentum and tactical cohesion
- Moderate pace expected, favoring structured attacks
- Benfica’s set-piece and pressing advantage
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 76% | Benfica win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 72% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 52% | No |
| Double Chance | 88% | 1X |
- 1X2 Benfica win 76%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72%
- BTTS No 52%
- Double Chance 1X 88%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Benfica
W/D/L
3-2-0
Goals (for / against)
21 / 4
Avg goals / match
5.0
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
xG (for / against)
3.08 / 0.65
Aarhus
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
9 / 10
Avg goals / match
3.8
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
5/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
xG (for / against)
1.67 / 1.89
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Benfica wins when scoring first
50%
①
Aarhus wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Benfica BTTS rate · last 10
80%
⚽
Aarhus BTTS rate · last 10
80%
↑
Benfica Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
↑
Aarhus Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↩
Benfica comeback rate · last 10
—
↩
Aarhus comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Benfica · last 10 at home
0–15
23%
16–30
12%
31–45
15%
46–60
19%
61–75
4%
76–90
27%
Aarhus · last 5 away
0–15
23%
16–30
23%
31–45
0%
46–60
15%
61–75
23%
76–90
15%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.
