Match Rio Ave vs Famalicao March 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.75 — +13.7% better than the market.

Famalicao enters this clash with clear momentum, boasting a superior overall quality and better recent form compared to struggling Rio Ave. The visitors' offensive edge against Rio Ave's defense suggests they can create meaningful chances, while the home side's defensive solidity may be tested. Expect a tactical battle where Famalicao's sharper attack and recent consistency could tip the scales.

Famalicao's form and quality advantage
Rio Ave's defensive resilience under pressure
Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.75 ✓ Cashed

AI 30% Implied 27% +2.75u

+275%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

RIO 4-2-3-1 · FAM 4-3-3

RIO · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · FAM

9 Monteiro

Subs used · RIO

46'

Abbey ↑ ·

Richards ↓

70'

Pohlmann ↑ ·

Blesa ↓

79'

Guilherme ↑ ·

Spikic ↓

79'

Papakanellos ↑ ·

Nikitscher ↓

80'

Tome ↑ ·

Vrousai ↓

Subs used · FAM

59'

Elisor ↑ ·

Abubakar ↓

85'

Joujou ↑ ·

Sorriso ↓

📊 Statistics

RIO 0 – 0 FAM

46%

Possession (%)

54%

1.01

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.85

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 0 – 0

Marios Vrousai

Yellow Card

▮

15'

Omar Richards

Yellow Card

▮

45'

Half-time · 0 – 0

N. Abbey ↓ · O. Richards ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

45+2'

▮

Sorriso

Yellow Card

52'

▮

Tom Van De Looi

Yellow Card

59'

⇄

S. Elisor ↓ · U. Abubakar ↑

Substitution 1

O. Pohlmann ↓ · J. Blesa ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

70'

Ryan Guilherme ↓ · D. Spikic ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

79'

A. Papakanellos ↓ · T. Nikitscher ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

79'

J. Tome ↓ · M. Vrousai ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

80'

João Tomé

Yellow Card

▮

83'

85'

⇄

A. Joujou ↓ · Sorriso ↑

Substitution 2

Antonis Papakanellos

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Rio Ave and Famalicao drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 10, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +8.91 units (Brier 0.307).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.94	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.94	—	56%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
BTTS No	2.03	—	52%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.81	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.95	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.93	—	42%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.40	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.75	—	30%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.27	—	83%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.35	—	77%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	10%	Cashed	+9.00	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	90%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.31	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.64	—	25%	Cashed	+2.64	Cashed
AH Home 0	3.10	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.40	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.20	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+8.91u	+52% ROI