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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Santa Clara — Famalicao

Preview Santa Clara vs Famalicao August 23, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Home · last 5 D W
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 17:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Famalicao
Famalicao
D L Away · last 5
Referee I. Vasilica
Home Win · SAN
38%
Best 2.64
Draw
29%
Best 3.06
Away Win · FAM
33%
Best 3.07

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 54% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Santa Clara shows home momentum with a recent unbeaten run, while Famalicao struggles on the road. The home side's better recent form and solid defensive shape could limit Famalicao's attacking threat. Expect a tactical battle with moderate pace, as both teams have similar goal expectancy but contrasting form trends.

  • Santa Clara's home resilience offers a pressing edge.
  • Famalicao's away struggles may hinder their offensive flow.
  • Moderate tempo suggests a compact, strategic match.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 38% Santa Clara win
Over/Under 2.5 54% Under 2.5
BTTS 51% Yes
Double Chance 67% 1X
  • 1X2 Santa Clara win 38%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54%
  • BTTS Yes 51%
  • Double Chance 1X 67%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Santa Clara
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 7 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.27 / 0.83
Famalicao
W/D/L 1-3-1
Goals (for / against) 5 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-2-0
xG (for / against) 1.22 / 0.97

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.50
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1.50
1.35
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
4.50
Shots on Target
3
3
Corners
5.50
46
Possession (%)
58.50
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
53
OFF · home
12
53
DEF · home
29
53
OFF · away
65
76
DEF · away
71
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Santa Clara wins when scoring first
60%
Famalicao wins when scoring first
60%
Santa Clara BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Famalicao BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Santa Clara Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
Famalicao Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
Santa Clara comeback rate · last 10
0%
Famalicao comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Santa Clara · last 10 at home

0–15 9%
16–30 27%
31–45 0%
46–60 18%
61–75 18%
76–90 27%

Famalicao · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 11%
31–45 22%
46–60 33%
61–75 22%
76–90 11%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

Gonçalo Paciência
SAN · Attacker
3 G · 1.76 g/90
G. Koutsias
FAM · Attacker
1 G
Gil Dias
FAM · Midfielder
0 G