Match Santa Clara vs Arouca December 21, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 2.88 — +14.0% better than the market.

Santa Clara faces a tough challenge against Arouca, who hold a clear quality edge and better recent form. Santa Clara’s defensive struggles contrast with Arouca’s more balanced approach, suggesting the visitors can control the game tempo. The home side’s slight home edge is tempered by their poor recent results, while Arouca’s pressing and compact block could limit scoring chances.

Santa Clara’s defensive frailty vs Arouca’s steady offense
Arouca’s recent momentum and tactical discipline
Moderate pace expected, favoring a cautious game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 2.88 ✓ Cashed

AI 40% Implied 35% +1.88u

+188%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SAN 4-3-3 · ARO 4-2-3-1

SAN · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · ARO

10 Silva

Subs used · SAN

64'

Luquinhas ↑ ·

Wendell ↓

64'

Tavares ↑ ·

Firmino ↓

75'

Lopes ↑ ·

Ferreira ↓

75'

Duarte ↑ ·

MT ↓

88'

Manoel ↑ ·

Silva ↓

Subs used · ARO

20'

Sola ↑ ·

Popovic ↓

68'

Lee ↑ ·

Nandin ↓

87'

Gozalbez ↑ ·

Trezza ↓

87'

Barbero ↑ ·

Djouahra ↓

87'

Fukui ↑ ·

van Ee ↓

📊 Statistics

SAN 0 – 0 ARO

52%

Possession (%)

48%

0.49

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.28

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 0 – 0

▮

Tiago Esgaio

Yellow Card

20'

⇄

A. Sola ↓ · B. Popovic ↑

Substitution 1

Half-time · 0 – 0

Luquinhas ↓ · Wendell ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

J. Tavares ↓ · Adriano Firmino ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

68'

⇄

H. Lee ↓ · D. Nandin ↑

Substitution 2

Sidney Lima

Yellow Card

▮

72'

Vinicius Lopes ↓ · P. Ferreira ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

75'

T. Duarte ↓ · MT ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

75'

Serginho

Yellow Card

▮

80'

82'

▮

Miguel Puche

Yellow Card

87'

⇄

P. Gozalbez ↓ · A. Trezza ↑

Substitution 3

87'

⇄

I. Barbero ↓ · N. Djouahra ↑

Substitution 4

87'

⇄

T. Fukui ↓ · E. van Ee ↑

Substitution 5

Elias Manoel ↓ · Gabriel Silva ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Santa Clara and Arouca drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +5.08 units (Brier 0.245).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.03	—	55%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.62	—	66%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
BTTS No	1.69	—	62%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
Home Win	1.87	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.21	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.42	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.88	—	40%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
Away Win	5.10	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.47	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.20	—	72%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.00	—	14%	Cashed	+7.00	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.21	—	84%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.52	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.11	—	86%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.45	—	27%	Cashed	+2.45	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.60	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.33	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+5.08u	+30% ROI