Match Moreirense vs Benfica December 14, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 2.28 — +11.8% better than the market.

Primeira Liga Clash: Moreirense vs Benfica

Benfica holds a clear quality edge and a strong away momentum, reflected in their superior offensive numbers against Moreirense's defense. Despite Moreirense's decent home form, Benfica's pressing and tactical discipline could limit scoring chances. The match may see a moderate tempo with balanced goal opportunities, but Benfica's ability to control the game suggests they are favorites to take points.

Benfica's attacking edge challenges Moreirense's defense.
Home side's recent form shows resilience but less firepower.
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 2.28 ✗ Lost

AI 49% Implied 44% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MOR 4-1-4-1 · BEN 4-2-3-1

MOR · 4-1-4-1 4-2-3-1 · BEN

95 Schettine

Subs used · MOR

45+6'

Rodri ↑ ·

Sousa ↓

46'

Assis ↑ ·

Stjepanovic ↓

66'

Semedo ↑ ·

Schettine ↓

66'

Bondoso ↑ ·

Bernardo ↓

82'

Martinez ↑ ·

Kiko ↓

Subs used · BEN

46'

Rego ↑ ·

Barreiro ↓

77'

Ivanovic ↑ ·

Pavlidis ↓

77'

Schjelderup ↑ ·

Sudakov ↓

82'

Manu ↑ ·

Barrenechea ↓

86'

Neto ↑ ·

Dahl ↓

📊 Statistics

MOR 0 – 4 BEN

53%

Possession (%)

47%

0.42

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.86

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 0 – 4

Mateja Stjepanović

Yellow Card

▮

29'

Vasco Sousa

Yellow Card

▮

33'

36'

⚽

V. Pavlidis

Assist · F. Aursnes · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

A. Assis ↓ · M. Stjepanovic ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

⇄

R. Rego ↓ · L. Barreiro ↑

Substitution 1

Rodri ↓ · V. Sousa ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

45+6'

57'

⚽

V. Pavlidis

Assist · F. Aursnes · 0–2

L. Semedo ↓ · Guilherme Schettine ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

66'

Kiko Bondoso ↓ · Bernardo ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

66'

70'

⚽

V. Pavlidis

0–3

76'

⚽

F. Aursnes

0–4

77'

⇄

F. Ivanovic ↓ · V. Pavlidis ↑

Substitution 2

77'

⇄

A. Schjelderup ↓ · G. Sudakov ↑

Substitution 3

A. Martinez ↓ · Kiko ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

82'

⇄

Manu ↓ · E. Barrenechea ↑

Substitution 4

86'

⇄

J. Neto ↓ · S. Dahl ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 0 – 4

Match recap

Benfica won 4–0 away at Moreirense. At half-time it was 0–1.

In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 0.86 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: V. Pavlidis (36'), V. Pavlidis (57'), V. Pavlidis (70'), F. Aursnes (76').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.35 units (Brier 0.129).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	2.28	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.88	—	54%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.03	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.70	—	51%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Away Win	1.43	—	73%	Cashed	+0.43	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.10	—	92%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.10	—	33%	Cashed	+2.10	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	3.20	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.10	—	73%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.28	—	78%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Draw	5.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	93%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.39	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.10	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	9.75	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	6.80	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.35u	−26% ROI