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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Moreirense — Benfica

Predictions Moreirense vs Benfica December 14, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Moreirense
Moreirense
Home · last 5 W L W L D
Kick-off
Sun 14 Dec · 18:00
0:4
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W W D D W Away · last 5
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas · Moreira de Cónegos Referee Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho, Portugal
Home Win · MOR
8%
Best 8.10
Draw
20%
Best 4.55
Away Win · BEN
73%
Best 1.39
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.28
Fair odds
2.04
book 2.28 · +11.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 49% · EV +11.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (51%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.8%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 7.6%
Odds 9.75
Show model details
Implied probability 10.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 54.2%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 45.8%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 32.6%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.2%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.8%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.1%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 7.6%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 92.4%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 27.4%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
MOR – BEN @ 2.28
+11.8%
Edge
Forecast →