Match Guimaraes vs GIL Vicente December 8, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 2.62 — +9.2% better than the market.

Guimaraes hosts GIL Vicente in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, reflected in their stronger overall rating and recent form. Despite Guimaraes' home momentum and a compact defensive setup, GIL Vicente's sharper attack against a less resilient defense suggests they can break through. The pace hints at a moderately open game, with both sides likely to create chances.

GIL Vicente's offensive edge vs Guimaraes' defense
Home side's solid but tested defensive block
Recent form favors GIL Vicente's confidence

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 2.62 ✗ Lost

AI 42% Implied 38% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GUI 4-2-3-1 · VIC 4-2-3-1

GUI · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · VIC

7 Oliveira

Subs used · GUI

62'

Blanco ↑ ·

Camara ↓

62'

Ndoye ↑ ·

Oliveira ↓

75'

Mitrovic ↑ ·

Nogueira ↓

89'

Lebedenko ↑ ·

I. Mendes ↓

89'

Felix ↑ ·

Saviolo ↓

Subs used · VIC

61'

Carlos ↑ ·

Esteves ↓

61'

Toure ↑ ·

Fernandes ↓

61'

Hevertton ↑ ·

Carlos ↓

77'

Fernandez ↑ ·

Souza ↓

87'

Eduardo ↑ ·

Varela ↓

📊 Statistics

GUI 0 – 0 VIC

52%

Possession (%)

48%

0.45

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.22

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 0 – 0

29'

▮

Zé Carlos

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

61'

⇄

Ze Carlos ↓ · L. Esteves ↑

Substitution 1

61'

⇄

T. Toure ↓ · J. Fernandes ↑

Substitution 2

61'

⇄

S. Hevertton ↓ · Ze Carlos ↑

Substitution 3

F. Blanco ↓ · O. Camara ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

62'

A. Ndoye ↓ · N. Oliveira ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

62'

Rodrigo Abascal

Yellow Card

▮

63'

M. Mitrovic ↓ · G. Nogueira ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

75'

77'

⇄

M. Fernandez ↓ · Murilo de Souza ↑

Substitution 4

Alioune Ndoye

Yellow Card

▮

81'

João Mendes

Yellow Card

▮

84'

87'

▮

Andrew

Yellow Card

87'

⇄

Carlos Eduardo ↓ · G. Varela ↑

Substitution 5

O. Lebedenko ↓ · J. I. Mendes ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

89'

V. Felix ↓ · N. Saviolo ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

89'

90+2'

▮

Hevertton Santos

Yellow Card

90+4'

▮

Ghislain Konan

Yellow Card

90+7'

▮

Santi García

Yellow Card

Matija Mitrović

Yellow Card

▮

90+8'

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Guimaraes and GIL Vicente drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 10 shots to 6, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 9 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +3.19 units (Brier 0.274).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.80	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.62	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.21	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.73	—	54%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.70	—	32%	Cashed	+1.70	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.92	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.99	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.45	—	73%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.55	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	5.50	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.56	—	58%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Draw	3.10	—	29%	Cashed	+2.10	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.47	—	56%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Home Win	2.88	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.12	—	89%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.18	—	79%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.00	—	11%	Cashed	+6.00	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+3.19u	+19% ROI