🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 60% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 60%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Guimaraes faces Nacional with contrasting recent form, as the home side struggles for momentum while Nacional shows signs of revival. The match hints at a balanced pace with evenly matched goal expectations, suggesting a tactical battle. Guimaraes' home advantage is tempered by their poor recent results, while Nacional's sharper form and pressing edge could unlock chances.
- Home side's defensive resilience tested by away's improved attack
- Midfield control likely key in shaping the contest
- Moderate tempo expected, favoring compact defensive setups
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 51% | Guimaraes win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 60% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 60% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 76% | 1X |
- 1X2 Guimaraes win 51%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60%
- BTTS Yes 60%
- Double Chance 1X 76%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Guimaraes
W/D/L
0-0-5
Goals (for / against)
3 / 12
Avg goals / match
3.0
Scored in
2/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
xG (for / against)
1.25 / 1.53
Nacional
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
7 / 6
Avg goals / match
2.6
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.33 / 1.31
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Guimaraes wins when scoring first
75%
①
Nacional wins when scoring first
83%
⚽
Guimaraes BTTS rate · last 10
30%
⚽
Nacional BTTS rate · last 10
20%
↑
Guimaraes Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↑
Nacional Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
↩
Guimaraes comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Nacional comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Guimaraes · last 10 at home
0–15
7%
16–30
14%
31–45
0%
46–60
21%
61–75
43%
76–90
14%
Nacional · last 10 away
0–15
0%
16–30
29%
31–45
29%
46–60
0%
61–75
14%
76–90
29%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.
